BNB’s Value Surge
In the week leading up to March 29, BNB’s value saw a 12% increase, reaching a high of $620, marking a notable upturn and closing the valuation gap with its rival, Ether, which saw a 5% rise in the same period.
Mixed Signals
Despite this growth, the BNB Chain’s on-chain data sends mixed signals, indicating that the rally might be overextended. This recent surge in cryptocurrency value has been linked to inflows into spot Bitcoin BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
ETF Outflows
However, a setback was observed in the week ending March 23, with a net outflow of $890 million from these ETFs, marking their first net outflow since their introduction in January. Yet, there was a silver lining with a significant decrease in outflows from the Grayscale GBTC fund, which only saw $104 million leave on March 28.
BNB Momentum and Market Capitalization
BNB’s momentum in the first half of March, with a 61.7% increase, was dampened after peaking at $645. This peak brought BNB’s market capitalization to $96.4 billion, down from its all-time high of $116 billion in November 2021. The total value locked (TVL) in BNB Chain also saw a decline, from $15.7 billion at its peak to $7.1 billion, a 55% reduction.
Market Contractions
The crypto market, especially decentralized finance (DeFi), has seen significant contractions since late 2021. This downturn isn’t unique to BNB Chain, as the total market data for blockchains tracked by DefiLlama decreased by 25%, from nearly $205 billion to $155 billion.
Activity Levels and Trading Volume
Despite these challenges, BNB Chain remains a key player in the crypto market, rivaling Ethereum’s layer-2 networks in activity levels. Nearly 2 million active addresses engaged with DApps on BNB Chain in the past week. The blockchain also stood out for its trading volume, which, unlike Solana and Ethereum, saw an 11% increase, reaching $12.4 billion.
Future Predictions
Looking ahead, the future of the cryptocurrency sector is difficult to predict, but derivative metrics like the demand for leverage in BNB perpetual futures contracts offer insights. The steady 8-hour funding rate of around 0.03%, equivalent to about 0.6% weekly, suggests a cautiously optimistic market sentiment, despite the price challenges at the $620 level. This careful optimism is bolstered by the enduring interest in leveraged long positions, despite the uncertain market trajectory.
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